What If It All Works Out?

15 September 2020
What if the best prophecies are fulfilled? What if the worst are avoided? What if, by the grace of God, we make heaven on Earth? What will that look like? Such questions come from one of my favorite professional anthropologists, Jon Bialecki. He has been studying and writing about Mormon Transhumanism. In fact, he has a book on the subject that’s currently in peer review. And I’m looking forwar ... (More)

Review of “Producing Ancient Scripture: Joseph Smith’s Translation Projects in the Development of Mormon Christianity”

06 September 2020
The following is a cross-post for a review I wrote with the Association for Mormon Letters, also accessible here. Review——- Title: Producing Ancient Scripture: Joseph Smith’s Translation Projects in the Development of Mormon ChristianityEdited: Michael Hubbard Mackay, Mark Ashurst-McGee, and Brian M. HauglidPublisher: University of Utah PressGenre: Religious Non-FictionYea ... (More)

COVID-19 Daily Updates Moved:

01 September 2020
New Blog for COVID-19 Daily Updates:I have been posting my daily COVID-19 updates here, on my personal blog. But it now makes sense for this to have its own space. So I will be posting all future daily updates there. If you have been following me here for those updates, I recommend subscribing over there: https://covid-19watch.blogspot.com/ ... (More)

COVID-19 Daily Update for Yesterday, Sunday, 8/30/2020

31 August 2020
World Wide Trends, How Many People Have Been or Currently Are Infected? There have now been 25,417,886 confirmed cases of COVID-19 world wide.  That's 0.33% of the world population. According to WorldOMeter, 6,840,933 of those cases are "active". However, as we discussed in the last update, WorldOMeter's recovery estimate is too low. I estimate that there are currently 4,395,451 conf ... (More)

COVID-19 Daily Update for Yesterday, Friday, 8/28/2020

29 August 2020
World Wide Trends, Updated Methodology:I have been using WorldOMeter to get world wide recovery data. They had the best estimates, because many places simply don't report recoveries, and in that case, WorldOMeter seemed to be estimating them. Sometimes. But after staring at this figure for weeks now, I'm coming to the conclusion that they are missing a lot of recoveries. It's been ov ... (More)

CODID-19 Daily Update for Yesterday, Thursday, 8/27/2020

28 August 2020
World Wide Trends in Brief:The world wide daily change in new cases now appears to be roughly flat in both the 7 and the 14 day averages: The reason for this can be seen in the daily cases and recoveries chart below: However, since the daily cases are also in VERY gradual decline, eventually the daily recoveries should catch up, and the daily change in active cases should go negative. Unl ... (More)

COVID-19 Daily Update for Yesterday, 8/26/2020

27 August 2020
Automation Update, Available Figures:I am now automatically generating several figures each day and pushing them to an online "git" repository. I have had two volunteers offer to work on creating a web page that will provide a more useful interface to the figures/data. But for now, you can browse the figures with this link. There are several things available so far. First, I am runni ... (More)

COVID-19 Daily Update for Yesterday, Tuesday, 8/25/2020

26 August 2020
Is it Signal, or Is it Noise? (World Wide Trends Update)We discussed these two charts a few days ago. But here's the update: The question at the time was whether the seeming uptick in the 7 day average of the daily change in new cases seen in the 7 day average was signal or noise, given that the 14 day average was still going down. As of today, the 14 day average is also going up. So for ... (More)

COVID-19 Daily Update: Automation Progress Update:

25 August 2020
COVID-19 Daily Update: Automation Progress Update:Today is a model discussion day. I will give a pandemic status update tomorrow. I have been working recently on automating the process of gathering data every morning. Frankly, I'm surprised it took me this long. Previously I had been moving data to my spreadsheet from various sources by hand. For those interested, here's a link to my spre ... (More)

COVID-19 Daily Update for Yesterday, Sunday, 8/23/2020:

24 August 2020
COVID-19 Daily Update for Yesterday, Sunday, 8/23/2020:World Wide Trends in Brief: In today's installment of "is it signal or is it noise", let's look at the World Wide daily change in the number of active cases. Active Cases are defined as the number of cases - number recovered. So the daily change in active cases, is the number of new cases that day, minus the number of people who have ... (More)
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Read opinions on technology, spirituality, science, and religion from members of the Mormon Transhumanist Association.

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